Sofia, 6–7 December 2004 Statement of the Ministerial Council on the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict
We welcome the progress achieved in 2004 in the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, in particular the three meetings between the Presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan under the auspices of the Co-Chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group. We also welcome the establishment of the so‑called “Prague Process,” within which, during four meetings of the Foreign Ministers of both countries, all parameters of a future settlement were once again methodically examined. We note that, building on the results of the “Prague Process,” the Co-Chairs of the Minsk Group presented to both Presidents in Astana in September a framework document capable of serving as a basis for settlement. We call upon the Presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan to take this framework document into consideration and to continue work on its basis. We strongly urge the parties to redouble their efforts toward a speedy settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group.
OSCE website: http://www.osce.org/documents/mcs/2005/02/4307_ru.pdf
Resolution 1416 (2005) of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe “The Conflict over the Nagorno-Karabakh Region Dealt with by the OSCE Minsk Conference” 25 January 2005
Today it was said in this chamber that society, unlike a few officials, does not possess the necessary information. This is a debatable point, for how could an entire people conduct the negotiation process? Society can be informed gradually, as the time for a possible settlement matures.
– Azerbaijan now takes a more aggressive stance than several years ago. What can you say about this? Ilham Aliyev, unlike his father, simply does not acknowledge the very possibility of concessions on the part of Azerbaijan and is, of course, less realistic than his father. It should be noted that in recent times Baku’s aggressive rhetoric has been accompanied by the movement of militarized units of the Republic of Azerbaijan toward Nagorno‑Karabakh. Naturally, this redeployment occurs on territory controlled by Azerbaijan, but even so such a fact is cause for concern. We are troubled by this development, but by no means intimidated. We are always capable of delivering an adequate response, and perhaps this mistake will ultimately prove to be Azerbaijan’s last. Nevertheless, we remain vigilant regarding such developments and will certainly make this known, for we are convinced that the problem must be resolved exclusively by peaceful means.
Defense Minister S. Sargsyan 30 March
First of all, I consider it necessary to note that the preparation of a list of questions, which the Commission had previously sent to participants of today’s hearings, is a useful initiative. However, I do not think it makes sense to follow this list verbatim—otherwise my report would turn into an interview. I will attempt instead to present my answers in the form of a military‑political analysis of the genesis of the Karabakh armed conflict and the key factors shaping its dynamics.
In the sphere of advancing the interests of the Karabakh settlement, we can note certain successes as well as familiar difficulties. Overall, however, there are no grounds for panic. That said, while acknowledging achievements, it is more useful to focus attention on problems and lessons learned, the proper understanding of which can help us better advance the Karabakh settlement in line with the security interests of Armenia, Karabakh, and the Armenian people as a whole.
At this stage of the settlement, I believe we must concentrate on systematizing our resources to counter a cunning, cynical adversary that does not hesitate to employ the most base methods of discrediting the international image of Armenia and Nagorno‑Karabakh. We must recognize the reality that Azerbaijan is assisted in its anti‑Armenian political offensive by specialized institutions in Turkey and other allies. Therefore, in participating in the Karabakh process, it is of paramount importance to consolidate efforts in the foreign policy sphere across all governmental institutions of Armenia—including the National Assembly, the Government, ministries and agencies, as well as foreign missions. This requires proper selection and professional training of representatives of state organizations, whose voices must present our highest national interests to the international community. They must be provided with professionally prepared information on what our national interests and priorities are on the most important issues, and how to defend them by political and diplomatic means at international forums, during visits, or in meetings with foreign delegations.
At the same time, we ourselves must periodically “synchronize our watches” on the Karabakh settlement. Today’s Commission session is a good example of such clarification of assessments, principles, and approaches, taking into account the dynamics of the Karabakh foreign policy process.
The roots of the modern phase of the Karabakh problem lie in the catastrophic change of Karabakh’s state status as part of Russia and the USSR. At the time of the collapse of the Russian Empire after World War I, these roots can be traced in the political and armed resistance of the Armenian population, the National Council of Karabakh, and the Government of the Republic of Armenia to attempts by the authorities of Turkey and the Democratic Republic of Azerbaijan to incorporate territories of the Elisabethpol Governorate of the Russian Empire, with a predominantly Armenian population, into the Democratic Republic of Azerbaijan in 1918–1920.
The second stage of the Karabakh problem can be traced in the Soviet period, namely in connection with the imposed creation in 1923 of the Nagorno‑Karabakh Autonomous Oblast within the Azerbaijan SSR, and the resistance of Armenians to Baku’s policy of deliberately expelling the Armenian population from Nagorno‑Karabakh. Until 1987, the conflict remained latent, expressed in Baku’s policies of stifling the economic and social development of the Armenians of the NKAO, suppressing their ethno‑cultural identity, and deliberately altering the region’s demographics in favor of Azerbaijanis.
The exposure and escalation of Armenian‑Azerbaijani confrontation over Karabakh occurred during the transitional political processes of perestroika in the USSR, including in the union republics themselves, and the contradictory transformation of union and republican legislation. There are grounds to believe that the mass pogroms and killings of peaceful Armenian civilians in Sumgait, Kirovabad, and Baku, as well as the ethnic cleansing of Northern Artsakh, were carried out with the knowledge of the CPSU Central Committee.
In conclusion of this section, I would note that Western specialists in their political and analytical practice often date the history of regional conflicts in the former USSR from the moment of its collapse. From this practical standpoint, particular attention must be paid to a professionally impeccable political‑legal assessment of the creation of the Nagorno‑Karabakh Republic during the dismantling of the USSR in 1991.
This should limit our recommendations on the historical aspect of argumentation in Karabakh settlement events. Yet such limitation in professional politics does not mean that Armenian scholars, writers, publicists, and artists should not create and present to the world works demonstrating the greatness of our glorious millennial history. It is very important to counter Azerbaijan’s falsifiers of history, who embellish their own past and culture at the expense of the Armenian people’s heritage. This would undoubtedly help maintain the positive image of our ancient and progressive nation. Leaving this sphere to scholars, cultural figures, and the media, let me focus on several other issues of contemporary political practice.
In the course of 13 years of negotiations under the auspices of the OSCE Minsk Group, four main approaches to the settlement of the Karabakh conflict have been considered:
Accordingly, the Armenian side’s approach is based on the concept of self‑determination of the people of Nagorno‑Karabakh. The Azerbaijani approach is invariably based on the principle of recognition of Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity and the inviolability of its borders.
Within the Minsk negotiation process, the Armenian side evaluates these models according to principles of guaranteeing the physical security of the Karabakh Armenians and conditions for their stable democratic development.
These principles are well known. Yet in my view, the current development of the Karabakh process suggests the advisability of including in these formulations the fact of Nagorno‑Karabakh’s orientation toward global processes of progressive development.
Thus, the three fundamental principles in their present form may be stated as:
It is important to achieve national consensus in the fundamental argumentation of all three principles. Only with such agreement—around the conformity of these principles to the national interests of the Armenian people, and regarding their justification—can we expect effective teamwork from our representatives at foreign policy events concerning the Karabakh settlement.
1) I will begin with the justification of the main arguments related to the impossibility of subordinating Karabakh to Azerbaijan. This principle is grounded in the lawful creation in 1991 and the subsequent functioning, for nearly fourteen years, of two equal states on the territory of the former Azerbaijan SSR: the Nagorno‑Karabakh Republic (NKR) and the Republic of Azerbaijan (AzR). Effective defense of this principle requires harmonization of its professional political‑legal argumentation, and therefore I consider it my duty to present to the Commission the essence of the proposed basic justification.
The argument rests on the legal fact of the adoption in April 1990 of the USSR Law “On the Procedure for Resolving Questions Related to the Secession of a Union Republic from the USSR” and the unfolding process of dismantling the Soviet Union. This law granted autonomous entities the right to determine themselves as independent subjects of the federal union, up to and including secession from the union republics to which they belonged (in cases where those republics themselves raised the question of leaving the USSR). The concretization of international‑legal and constitutional norms on the right of peoples to self‑determination in the mechanisms of this law gave the people of Nagorno‑Karabakh, for the first time in the USSR, lawful grounds to express and institutionalize their political will—taking into account the previously declared intention of the Azerbaijan SSR to leave the USSR (its Supreme Soviet adopted a constitutional law on sovereignty in September 1989, and in October 1991 passed a constitutional act on state independence).
In early December 1991, on constitutional grounds and under the supervision of international observers, a referendum was held in the NKAO on declaring independence, establishing the NKR, and forming its legitimate authorities. In October 1991 the Republic of Azerbaijan was established, and in December 1991 the USSR was dissolved. Thus, as a result of constitutional expression of will, two independent and equal states—NKR and AzR—were formed on the territory of the former Azerbaijan SSR, and the administrative‑political subordination of the people, territory, and authorities of NKR to the now‑abolished Azerbaijan SSR and USSR was lawfully terminated. Consequently, the people of Nagorno‑Karabakh, in accordance with the legislation in force, overcame administrative and political obligations to apply the “principle of territorial integrity” with respect to both the Azerbaijan SSR and, later, the USSR. At the same time, the NKR, as a legitimately created state, acquired an international‑legal basis for applying the principles of “territorial integrity” and “inviolability of borders” in the interests of its own national security.
A key political‑legal feature of the NKR is that, unlike other states self‑proclaimed during interethnic conflicts, its independent statehood was formed within the timeframe of applying the USSR Constitution and the above‑mentioned law. This feature provides a significant political resource to avoid parallels with other regional conflicts in the former USSR. Skillful use of this basic argument by Armenian envoys can help soften the positions of Georgia, Moldova, and Russia regarding the Karabakh settlement.
1a. Another important element of our argumentation for the first principle is the political‑legal assessment of Azerbaijan’s avoidance of a peaceful resolution of the Karabakh crisis on the eve of the USSR’s dismantling.
At the end of 1991, real legal and political preconditions existed for the peaceful resolution of an “internal non‑international armed conflict” between the people of Karabakh and the now‑defunct authorities of the USSR and Azerbaijan SSR. However, subsequent military resistance by Azerbaijan to the national‑state formation of the NKR prevented this historic chance for peacemaking from being realized. The failure of Azerbaijan’s authorities to use this unique opportunity transformed the “internal non‑international armed conflict” into an “international armed conflict” between two newly formed equal states—NKR and AzR. Moreover, relying on overwhelming superiority in military equipment and weaponry, Azerbaijan undertook large‑scale military operations, during which the entire population of the Getashen sub‑district (1991) and the Shaumyan district (1992) was deported, a significant part of the Hadrut district (1991) and most of the Martakert district (1992) was displaced, and peaceful towns and villages were subjected to massive bombardment.
1b. Finally, a compelling argument against Nagorno‑Karabakh being part of Azerbaijan is the real threat of its complete de‑Armenization.
A cruel lesson and warning for the Armenians of Karabakh is the fact of the complete ethnic cleansing of the Nakhichevan ASSR of its indigenous Armenian population, carried out by the authorities in Baku—even during the period when Azerbaijan was still part of the USSR—without the right of return to their places of residence.
2) On the principle of ensuring the impossibility of Nagorno‑Karabakh’s enclave existence, the necessity of a land border with Armenia, and Karabakh’s participation in global progressive processes. The explanation for the impossibility of Nagorno‑Karabakh existing as an enclave state is based on the fact that, in the absence of a land border with Armenia and under conditions of total blockade, the population of Nagorno‑Karabakh would be deprived of the means of survival. At the same time, guaranteed elimination of Karabakh’s enclave status is a necessary condition for the realization of the NKR’s will to participate in global progressive processes.
3) On the necessity of guarantees by the international community against the resumption of war and for the security of the Armenian population of Nagorno‑Karabakh. In this regard, it is of paramount importance to skillfully and objectively convey to the international community the fundamental argument of Azerbaijan’s aggression against the NKR.
The self‑defense of the people of Nagorno‑Karabakh was organized in accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter, in response to armed aggression by Azerbaijan against the lawfully established Nagorno‑Karabakh Republic. The violation of the principle of “territorial integrity” as applied to the Republic of Azerbaijan occurred as a result of the necessary repulsion of its aggression against the NKR, as well as the establishment of security zones on Azerbaijani territory captured from the aggressor during the elimination of its firing positions and defensive lines.
In essence, we do not intend to return territories from the “security belt” without meticulous consideration of the security interests of Karabakh’s population. We are prepared, through negotiations, to make certain mutual concessions provided that the Azerbaijani side offers firm guarantees of the physical security of Karabakh’s population, reinforced by guarantees from authoritative international organizations. The Armenian side is genuinely ready to discuss possibilities of mutual compromise precisely within these pragmatic limits.
IV. Prospects for the Status of Nagorno‑Karabakh It is clear to me that resolution of the Karabakh conflict is possible only by peaceful means, on the basis of mutual concessions. What concessions, in my view, can the Armenian side make?
We consider as a fundamental compromise Armenia’s abstention from recognizing the NKR, despite the lawful creation of the Nagorno‑Karabakh Republic and the fact of its many years of continuous functioning as a democratic independent state. We present this as an act of goodwill to sustain the process of peaceful settlement within the Minsk Group framework.
Secondly, we must, in line with our national and pan‑European interests, take into account certain formulations from Resolution 1416 of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (25 January 2005)—including the Assembly’s reaffirmation that independence and secession of a regional territory (i.e., Nagorno‑Karabakh) from a state (i.e., Azerbaijan) may be achieved only through a lawful and peaceful process, based on democratic support from the population of that territory. In this context, of particular interest is the proposal published by NATO Parliamentary Assembly President Pierre Lellouche, suggesting the advisability of holding another referendum among the population of the former Nagorno‑Karabakh Autonomous Oblast on democratic self‑determination.
We believe that our second fundamental compromise can be based precisely on this proposal: the Armenian side, despite the lawful creation of the NKR and its continuous functioning as a democratic independent state, may agree to an additional referendum among the residents of the former NKAO at their current places of residence, provided the referendum is organized under the auspices of the OSCE and the UN. In this case, we must professionally study the constructive experience of the UN Mission in Kosovo and the OSCE Mission in Kosovo.
Speaking of Karabakh’s future status, I wish to emphasize the logic of the NKR’s development and Armenian statehood as a whole. The vital interests of ensuring national and international security for Armenians dictate the strategic preference for parallel membership and active cooperation in international organizations by the two brotherly Armenian states—the Republic of Armenia and the Nagorno‑Karabakh Republic. At the same time, basing ourselves on the lawful creation of the NKR as an independent state, this approach can soften the Council of Europe’s claims against Armenia regarding alleged “annexation” of Karabakh. In other words, the model of “one Armenian people, two Armenian states” is strategically advantageous for the Armenian nation.
In this sense, the arguments of certain Azerbaijani figures that Karabakh’s self‑determination cannot be recognized because the Armenian people have already exercised self‑determination by creating the Republic of Armenia do not withstand scrutiny. Former and current presidents of Azerbaijan and Turkey have publicly declared that relations between Azerbaijan and Turkey are built on the model of “one people, two states.” In fact, history shows that after World War I, with the collapse of the Ottoman and Russian Empires, the Turkish people living in Anatolia, Turkish Thrace, and the South Caucasus exercised self‑determination by creating two states: the Republic of Turkey and the Azerbaijan Democratic Republic. There are many such examples in international practice.
In our political practice, we must recognize that the United States, Russia, France, other Western states, the OSCE, and other international organizations distinguish the NKR, acknowledging the legality of its creation. Therefore, it is important not only strategically but also tactically that democratic processes continue to develop in the NKR. We must soberly recognize that otherwise the NKR could lose much of its international support.
We are convinced that in the context of the Karabakh settlement, the perception of the Armenian side can be significantly improved if the NKR demonstrates readiness to implement EU recommendations on direct contacts with Azerbaijan, and if Armenia proposes involving Azerbaijan in programs, projects, and activities of international organizations aimed at establishing regional cooperation.
Naturally, our efforts toward peaceful settlement are considered within the framework of Armenia’s national security strategy, the main provisions of which we have formulated and which are already being refined. I inform you that Armenia’s national security strategy, in the form of a draft law, will be submitted to the National Assembly in 2007. Before that, in order to receive proposals and comments, the document will be tested by relevant state bodies and academic circles.
Preparation of the draft national security strategy has once again confirmed that, in the process of the USSR’s dissolution, the principal political achievement of the Armenian people was independence. Alongside this, another major achievement was the lawful referendum held in Nagorno‑Karabakh on 8 December 1991—prior to the Alma‑Ata Declaration of 21 December 1991 formally ending the USSR—within the timeframe of applying the 1990 USSR law. This specificity of the Karabakh referendum allows us, in foreign policy practice, to distinguish the Karabakh issue from regional conflicts in other states and to deter those states from opposing Armenia in international processes directly or indirectly affecting the just settlement of the Karabakh conflict. Consolidation of political, diplomatic, and informational use of this fact is one of the most important guarantees of Armenia’s national security, as well as the physical survival of Armenians on part of their ancestral homeland.
Returning to the main idea of my report, I emphasize that the implementation of the above strategic tasks for resolving the Karabakh conflict requires us to improve our knowledge and skill in combining the public and non‑public aspects of Armenia’s participation in the settlement. The effectiveness of our collective actions in the Karabakh settlement demands the consolidation of all Armenian participants in the political process around these fundamental principles and approaches.
National Assembly of the Republic of Armenia. Parliamentary Hearings, 29–30 March 2005. Collection “The Nagorno‑Karabakh Problem: Paths to Settlement.” Antares Publishing, Yerevan, 2006, pp. 9–25, 37–50. 801
Yuri Barsegov “Nagorno-Karabakh in International Law and Global Politics”
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